Recommended by Daniel Walton
The book is glance into the world of forecast modelling highlighting the common mistakes that amateur pundits make. Of particular interest is the idea that people only seek information to confirm their priors, a phenomenon that is largely responsible for the propagation of “alternative facts” news sources and growing distrust towards mainstream media.
Full Book Details
The signal and the noise: why so many predictions fail but some don’t
New York: Penguin Press